Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.191223 0.220346 0.253701 0.295012 0.345195 0.404680 0.481282
2025-05-11 0.149193 0.187107 0.235580 0.303348 0.397710 0.527698 0.726331
2025-05-18 0.122649 0.163445 0.219979 0.306700 0.441443 0.652281 1.028488
2025-05-25 0.104625 0.146042 0.207147 0.308132 0.480089 0.780886 1.400733
2025-06-01 0.090986 0.131758 0.195015 0.306195 0.510898 0.906243 1.838807
2025-06-08 0.080032 0.119411 0.183086 0.300950 0.533132 1.023164 2.336326
2025-06-15 0.073730 0.113278 0.179902 0.309855 0.584459 1.222042 3.196398
2025-06-22 0.066312 0.104154 0.169923 0.303518 0.601971 1.351294 3.980300
2025-06-29 0.061407 0.098614 0.165354 0.306707 0.641545 1.556707 5.260335
2025-07-06 0.056398 0.092235 0.158219 0.302963 0.663495 1.725646 6.635795
2025-07-13 0.053194 0.088710 0.155972 0.309300 0.713252 2.010680 9.064006
2025-07-20 0.050543 0.085879 0.154644 0.317406 0.770948 2.363629 12.716827
2025-07-27 0.047917 0.082868 0.152673 0.324018 0.828679 2.770111 18.125764
2025-08-03 0.045711 0.080445 0.151623 0.332862 0.897982 3.293958 27.060751
2025-08-10 0.043313 0.077378 0.148760 0.336467 0.952449 3.810827 39.459976
2025-08-17 0.041011 0.074267 0.145385 0.338027 1.001262 4.360609 57.746482
2025-08-24 0.038690 0.070892 0.140979 0.335835 1.036047 4.880770 82.865877
2025-08-31 0.036367 0.067299 0.135641 0.329939 1.054682 5.332674 115.490453
2025-09-07 0.035183 0.066026 0.135630 0.339943 1.144575 6.440633 210.310924
2025-09-14 0.033156 0.062747 0.130384 0.332821 1.157290 6.975280 306.284764
2025-09-21 0.031855 0.060955 0.128604 0.336404 1.222135 8.111641 569.657760
2025-09-28 0.030275 0.058412 0.124660 0.332198 1.248337 8.947582 967.154882
2025-10-05 0.029339 0.057247 0.124105 0.339319 1.337108 10.718713 2455.198563